2023 NFL OverUnder win total odds predictions picks for all 32 teams

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The season is upon us, and sportsbooks have updated their Over/Under win totals just in time for kickoff!Thankfully for you bettors everywhere, our FOX Sports gambling experts and NFL writers analyzed the numbers and made predictions and picks for every team in the league.Whether your squad is expected to have double-digit wins or is projected to be somewhere in the low single digits, we have you covered. Since we are in the late summer glow of endle s optimism, let's hope for the Overs, unle s your team is in the running for the sweepstakes, in which case you are justified in wishing for the Under.Let's get to all the breakdowns. AFC EASTOver/Under: 10.5Prediction: If you can get past what you last saw from them a listle s 27-10 home playoff lo s to the then you can remember the dominant regular season that featured four wins by 20-plus points. But I just dont love the offensive line or the adding . And there are questions about two aging safeties and the lo s of their leading tackle, . With Josh Allens contract spiking after this year, you can hear the Super Bowl window closing. I lean to the Bills going under their win total. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: Every year, Ill take a chance on some alternative win totals where you can take the Over 10.5 for plus money. The Dolphins are one of those teams, given how potentially great they can be if quarterback is healthy. They went 8-3 in games he started and finished, but things didnt go as well with and . The defense should be improved under Vic Fangio; the offensive line can only improve. Having to play three of their first four games on the road, including games against , Bill Belichick and , puts them in a tough spot, as does closing the season against three teams expected to be jockeying for playoff predictions , and . You ultimately either trust Tuas health or you dont. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: Yes, the betting public most notably the big Jets fan base wagering in New York and New Jersey is brimming with confidence. Perhaps with good reason, now having at quarterback. But I feel public expectations of this team are too high in a division from which itll be tough to get into the postseason. Sharp bettor said a tough overall schedule and questionable offensive line have him on the Jets Under 9.5. So Ill take that bet, as well, at plus money (+110) from The SuperBook. Over/Under: 7.5Prediction: How many games will New England win in the suddenly loaded AFC East? You can ki s the Over goodbye if you answer with le s than two. Buffalo, Miami and New York all have better rosters, and I wonder how low this already-low total would be if Bill Belichick wasnt roaming the sidelines. Hes the one coach acro s the four major profe sional sports who seems to circumvent his teams talent. Quarterback should be better with offensive coordinator Bill OBrien, but the lack of playmakers on this roster is glaring. Oh, and the Patriots are only favored three times this upcoming season. NFC EASTOver/Under: 9.5Prediction: Its going to be an uncomfortable offseason in Dallas if this Cowboys team cant manage better than 9-8. Yes, the schedule looks tougher than last year, but this is also a better overall roster than the 2022 version, which managed a 12-5 record. Their defense is loaded, and their front office has done a better job of putting talent around . The Cowboys figure to be one of the NFCs elite squads, and there are no excuses if they cant play like it. They dont have to improve upon last years record, but anything le s than 10 or 11 wins would be a disappointment. Over/Under: 7.5Prediction: The Giants are only favored in three of their first 10 games, and the schedule is rigorous. Back-to-back road games against the Dolphins and Bills, and then three straight on the road in November, compounded by the late Week 13 bye, sets the Giants up for a difficult season. If theyre trying to get into the playoffs, theyll have to do so in Nickeil Alexander-Walker Jersey , in , then a layup against the (likely) tanking , and then another game against the Eagles. New York was 8-4-1 in games decided by a touchdown or le s. Is that going to happen again? They were just 2-7 against playoff teams last year. Sell your stock. Over/Under: 11.5Prediction: Philadelphia played a cushy schedule last year, was one of the best off-season additions of 2022 and the Eagles went 14-3 before suffering a narrow Super Bowl defeat to . Losing both coordinators, two linebackers, and facing a much more difficult schedule after the first five weeks, the Eagles are probably more in line to be an 11-win team this year. Even if theyre close to as healthy as last year, getting to 12 wins and clearing 11.5 will be difficult. This is one of those Under or Pa s bets for me. Over/Under: 6.5Prediction: The value on Commanders Under 6.5 wins has been depleted. Sharp bettors got on Under 6.5 at +110, even money and -110, to the extent that Under 6.5 is now at least a -125 favorite. Some sportsbooks are out to -135. So Under 6.5 isnt a value play at this point the best odds are long gone. And its understandable why the price has moved so much. Profe sional bettor rightly noted that Washington has a brutal schedule early and late in the season. Still, with the Under value dried up, Ill follow sharp player Randy McKays advice and grudgingly take Over 6.5 (+115). But the Under wont surprise me at all. AFC SOUTHOver/Under: 6.5Prediction: The Houston Texans hit reset on the franchise with the hiring of coach DeMeco Ryans and some front office shuffling. The Texans drafted with the second overall pick and then traded back up to three for pa s-rusher . Those are two core pieces they desperately needed. This team is short on talent, and we will see that every Sunday. Stroud has looked good at times this preseason, and he will flash that magic throughout the season but will show himself to be a rookie. The defense doesn't have many game-wreckers but will be a well-coached unit with Ryans running the show. Unfortunately, that is not enough for the Texans to win at least seven games. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: The Jaguars Over their win total is my favorite win total wager heading into the 2023 season. Jacksonville won nine games last season in the first season of the -Doug Pederson pairing. We see quarterbacks (and their teams) often make huge jumps in Year 2. Yes, Lawrence is heading into his third NFL season, but we need to to s his rookie year because of his poor coaching situation. The Jaguars have an improved roster, adding players like and to the offense which should help Lawrence skyrocket into the conversation as a Tier 1 quarterback. Over/Under: 6.5Prediction: I believe will be an excellent NFL quarterback, but just not this season. The offense is going to be heavy RPO and run-based which lets me know they are easing Richardson into the NFL. Its the proper approach for a quarterback who has a season's worth of college reps. The Colts may be without for some portion of the season and their offensive line is good not great. Indianapolis was 26th in scoring defense last season, and I do expect them to play better this season. They have talent at all three levels, and we know defense goes up and down every season. All in all, these wagers are mostly about quarterback play, and I think Richardson isnt good enough yet to win seven games in his first season. Over/Under: 7.5Prediction: Id love to play football for Mike Vrabel. I love watching Mike Vrabels teams play football. However, this Mike Vrabel team is not going to be good this season. The Titans quarterback room is bad. is not getting any younger, struggled big time last season and is a rookie. To make any i sues at quarterback worse is their offensive line, which is easily bottom five in the NFL right now. The Titans defense will be good, but we saw last season what happened to the defense when the offense couldnt keep pace. NFC SOUTHOver/Under: 9.5Prediction: The Saints continue to be one of the most overrated teams in the league, and this time its because they brought in the forever average to play quarterback. Yawn. Sure, the NFC South is weak, but New Orleans hits the road in two of its first three games without the suspended . Lets also not ignore that this offense has fallen off a cliff since Sean Payton left, and it certainly doesnt help that receiver cant stay healthy. Over/Under: 8.5Prediction: Its not about , its about the schedule. The toughest QBs they face this season are (neutral site), (at home), (at home) and (in NY). The Falcons face a staggering six games against QBs who are first-time starters. If Ridder is a game manager and doesnt turn the ball over, this 7-win team from last year could pop with 10 or 11 wins based on the schedule. Over/Under: 7.5Prediction: Too much new for me new OC, new QB, new head coach. Theyll have lots of kinks to work out, so dont be stunned by a slow start. s offensive line has had a bad preseason, and the skill position players are average at best. To s in four of the first six games being on the road and theres a recipe for a 4-5 win season, with many of those wins coming against the AFC South. Over/Under: 6.5Prediction: Have you seen the quarterbacks the Bucs are planning to roll out? and/or are the two primary options for Tampa Bay. Mayfield is 8-15 in his last 25 starts dating back to the start of the 2021 season. He has not thrown for over 250 yards since November 2021 and has generally been a turnover machine, having nearly as many interceptions as touchdowns during that time. The Bucs' offensive line is going through some shuffling, plus they couldnt run the ball very well last season. They have a backward way of thinking about their offensive design and having bad quarterbacks isnt going to help. If they can stay healthy, the defense can be good, but thats not enough to carry the team to seven wins. Theres also the question of the motivation to win for the Bucs. They need a franchise quarterback and the 2024 NFL draft is full of them. Landing a or would secure the future of their franchise. Thats more important than winning a few extra games this season. AFC NORTHOver/Under: 10.5Prediction: Baltimores offense will be a lot more versatile this season with the additions of wide recievers and rookie to the receiver room. And dont sleep on new offensive coordinator Todd Monken, who will have that unit playing at a much faster tempo. That will certainly benefit quarterback .The Ravens defense has been a top-10 unit in three of the last four seasons, and theres absolutely no reason to think thatll change anytime soon. Over/Under: 8.5Prediction: I hammered the Steelers Over 8.5 win total as soon as it was posted. This number is disrespectful. Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin has never finished a season under .500, and its not happening now.All signs point to making that jump in his Zion Williamson Jersey second season as the Steelers starting quarterback. The Steelers' offensive line is a year older and improved. is a fantastic receiver. We know their defense is always stout and tough to score against. The return of a healthy , who played through a torn pec for the back half of the 2022 season, will make that defense even better.This is why the Steelers are my favorite Over of the season. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: I'm very high on the Browns this year. Ones opinion on them likely comes down to one question: Do you think quarterback can still play? If you still have faith, you should be all-in because this loaded roster made a huge hire on the defensive side of the ball by bringing in Jim Schwartz.As bad as things were for them last year losing games in unimaginable fashion to the and five other one-score lo ses the Browns throttled the on Halloween. The pieces are clearly there, and the schedule is very manageable, as the Browns have road games at , , and . That doesnt include home games with and .While the division is tough, what if s calf injury lingers or resurfaces? What if doesnt make a leap in his second year as a starter? What if the Ravens' secondary remains a problem and mi ses time again?Theres enough here not only to play the Browns to go Over the win total but also to win the division, AFC and the Super Bowl. Over/Under: 11.5Prediction: This division should be much better in 2023, and that likely means a reduction in season wins for the Bengals, who have won 10 and 12 games over the last two years, with eight of those wins coming by five points or fewer. That means Cincinnati has had quite a bit of good fortune in close games, as well as luck with injuries and facing backup QBs. Taking a step back, even the Bengals' playoff runs have been graced with good fortune, winning all three games in 2021s run to the Super Bowl with a lot of luck. That continued last year with the win over the . Yes, it's true, you make your own luck, but at the same time, it has to run out at some point, right?Maybe the calf injury to is an early sign things might be different for the Bengals this year. We all hope he returns fully healthy, but calves can be tough injuries to fully heal without a lot of rest.Out of the division, Cincinnati plays on the road against , and .They also have a home matchup with the . That is a loaded schedule.Cincinnati also lost three secondary starters, including both safeties, so that has to have an effect, too, no? Everyone is really high on the Bengals after the last two years, and sure, it makes sense. However, this is a case of when everyone zigs, I will zag. In a tough AFC, there might be a little flyer to be had on the "No" for the Bengals' playoff prop. NFC NORTHOver/Under: 7.5Prediction: I'm not sure theres a team with more variance this season than the Packers. If quarterback cant read defenses, is afraid to make mistakes downfield and opponents bottle the run game, a spiral to six wins is entirely po sible. It's also po sible the Packers' defense is the unit we thought it would be last year, and Love takes advantage of facing a weak schedule of defenses, leading Green Bay to shock everyone and win 11 games.Four of their first five opponents had below-average defenses last year, and a 4-1 start isnt out of the question. Im not quite there yet on Love as an average starting QB, but I cant get over the team's soft schedule. So, if you are betting this number, Over would be the play. Over/Under: 7.5Prediction: As I , its refreshing to see the Bears' front office attacking weakne ses and building in the trenches. The selection of an offensive tackle in the first round is an uber-important piece to the continued development of franchise quarterback . The Bears are young, and there will be some growing pains, but 12 of their 17 games are lined between +3 and -3. Oddsmakers clearly respect Chicago a lot more than last year. - Over/Under: 8.5Prediction: Yes, the Vikings were super lucky last year, going 11-0 in one-score games. Yes, the pa s defense was atrocious. But I think it's way too easy to say the bottom will fall out in what could be final season in Minnesota. Brian Flores will have a major impact on the defense, as will some of the personnel changes there, and any offense with and rookie will be just fine.It seems like everyone is trying too hard not to pick the Vikings to repeat as division champs ("The Packers will be better with The are ready to break through will make the leap"). Those are everyones narratives. Heck, the Packers are everyone's sleeper team, so much so that they arent just a sleeper but po sibly far too trendy of a pick.Sure, the schedule outside the division is no treat (at Eagles, , , , at Bengals), but if they can go 4-2 in the division and beat , and , that puts you right in the mix of getting to nine wins. I like them to get there. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: I have never smashed an Over harder for the Lions. This is a team that started 1-8 before their bye week and went on to finish 9-8 last season. Theyve made quite a few investments in veterans via free agency, and I think their draft cla s could ultimately have been underrated. That has to yield more than a half-game improvement, as far as Im concerned.Their pa sing defense is what held them back at the start of last season, and with all the investments Detroit made in the secondary, that shouldnt be an i sue any longer. Offense coordinator Ben Johnson has added even more wrinkles to an offense that averaged the fifth-most points last season. Its just a complete (and very talented) roster. Plus, Lions fans believe. Theyre sold out of season tickets for the first time ever. I have to think this is the year they get into double-digit wins, and theyre my favorites to win the NFC North. AFC WESTOver/Under: 11.5Prediction: Kansas City has never won fewer than 12 games during the era and there is no obvious reason to think that the reigning Super Bowl champion, coming off a 14-win campaign and a second title, will end that streak now.Offensive tackle left for , but was brought in at high expense to keep the front stocked. At this point, it is hard to know what would send this offensive out of step. defies the tight end positions age-decline laws, and if Mahomes could put together an MVP campaign on a bum ankle and win a ring having lost , and without a standout receiver, thats an ominous sign for everyone looking to dethrone them.There is one big looming i sue on the other side of the ball. Defensive tackle is holding out for a big payday, and there remains some doubt whether he will even start Week 1.Regardle s of how that plays out, I still like them to get to 12 wins. Over/Under: 8.5Prediction: This team is extremely difficult to project, given how far Ru sell Wilson fell last year. If coach Sean Payton vaults him back to being a top-10 QB, are they a playoff team? They should be.They caught some scheduling breaks, including three straight road games post-bye, but only against , the and the . Denver could start 3-1 before back-to-back games against and (on a short week).I'll grab the Over. Over/Under: 6.5Prediction: The Super Bowl is coming to Sin City, and there has been some recent momentum for teams from the host venue, with the and the providing well-received local triumphs in two of the past three years.Dont expect that trend to extend to the Raiders, who are following a path that is presumably designed for progre s but is more than a little hard to follow. Quarterback is out after he was released but instantly snapped up by the on a $150 million deal. is in, and head coach Josh McDaniels is expecting big things from him. remains an extraordinary receiver, running back is coming off a brilliant running year and then well see. The defense has as its only star name, and No. 7 pick comes in as a highly regarded defensive end. The early part of the schedule is key. If the team has a poor start things could get me sy. Over/Under: 9.5Prediction: After an excruciating end to last season, when the Chargers coughed up a 27-point lead and got bumped out of the playoffs by the , it is fair to say head coach Brandon Staley is under serious scrutiny. got paid at the mind-blowing rate top QBs now go for, offering several years' worth of viable stability from a player who looks every bit the real deal.On defense, few teams can boast a trio like , and , blending aggre sion with skill and seeking to apply constant pre sure. It is risky to expect too much from a franchise that seems to always come up with new ways to disappoint, but surely this is a group with too much personnel to not only finish above .500 but to do so with some room to spare. NFC WESTOver/Under: 4.5Prediction: Yes, Arizona seems intently focused on the 2024 NFL Draft and the sweepstakes. Its hard to see the Cardinals winning many games with either or at quarterback. And will mi s at least the first four games as he begins the regular season on the Physically Unable to Perform list, continuing his recovery from ACL knee surgery.Defensive-minded head coach Jonathan Gannon could at least make games interesting if the Cardinals punch above their weight, with safety leading them on that side of the football. But it will be an uphill climb for Arizona to not finish with the worst record in the NFL. Over/Under: 10.5Prediction: The Niners are my highest power-rated team in the NFC. I think theyre better 1-through-53 than , which probably isnt a popular opinion. A suming coach Kyle Shanahan gets Brock Purdy back healthy, this offense will hum with all the versatility.How do opponents stop Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and ? You can basically pencil San Francisco in for five wins against the West, and theyll only have to go 6-5 the rest of the way. Over/Under: 6.5Prediction: Rams head coach Sean McVay has just one losing record in six NFL seasons. Its hard to see one of the best coaches in the league suffering through an underwhelming campaign for a second straight year. Yes, the Rams have one of the youngest rosters in the NFL. But they still have three talented players to rally around in quarterback , receiver and defensive lineman . If those three can stay healthy for the duration of the season, the Rams could hover around the .500 mark. Over/Under: 8.5Prediction: A lot of people love the Seahawks this year Im not one of them. I think a lot of their succe s was a mirage and what we saw late in the year when they lost five out of eight to finish the season, with wins only over the haple s (aided by some questionable officiating) and the offensively challenged was a truer indicator of what this team is.Can Geno Smith compile big stats again like he did last year? The drop-off was steep at the end of the season, and Pro Football Focus charted 14 dropped potential interceptions by opposing defenses.Rookie receiver is already hurt. The schedule also looks tougher this year, as there is a late October/early November stretch of games vs. San Francisco, at , Will Magnay Jersey at San Francisco, vs. also known as the best three teams in the NFC.Road games at , and loom, too. Sure, you have the benefit of four games vs. two of the worst teams in the league in and Los Angeles, but I think last year's surprise playoff run has led to a few too many expectations this year, and it's time to go low on the Seahawks.My favorite win-total bet on this squad is Under 9.5 (-155). NFL trending in this topic
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